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Tuesday 30 July 2019

Exide Industries Ltd. Worst is Over



Exide Industries Limited is a leader storage battery producing company and a life insurance company headquartered in Kolkata, India. Its segment includes automotive and industrial lead-acid batteries. 

1916 CESCO(Chloride Electrical Storage Company) , UK start up importng activities in India.
1946 Set up First factory – Shyamnagar, West Bengal
1984 Technical collaboration with Shin Kobe Japan Chloride Industries renamed as Exide Industries Ltd.

➤ 1995 Chloride Industries renamed as Exide Industries Ltd.

➤ 2005 50% Acquisition in ING Vysya Life Insurance

➤ 2012 entered to manufacture of Sine Wave Invertors for Home & Industrial         Usage

➤ 2014 Acquisition of balance 50% shares in ING. ING Vysya Life Ins. renamed as             Exide life Ins


With nine factories spread nationally, Exide's range and scale of manufacturing operations can be compared by very few companies globally.
⧭ 2 in West Bengal,      ⧭ 2 in Uttarakhand,   ⧭ 1 in Hariyana,    

⧭1 in Tamilnadu,           ⧭3 in Maharashtra) 

seven factories are dedicated to producing  batteries & the other two for Home UPS Systems. Together, the manufacturing plants produce yearly output of 8 Million Units in Automobile batteries (including batteries for motor-cycle applications), and over 600 Million Ampere-Hours of Industrial Power.
Exide's manufacturing facilities are equipped with world's latest and most advanced machineries with continuous up gradation. Along with constantly upgrading its technology and also acquiring new technology to meet the ever increasing demands of its customers. In addition to the state-of-the-art in-house R&D center recognized by the Department of Scientific and Industrial Research, Government of India, Exide also acquires new technology through technical collaboration agreements with leading international battery manufacturers.

Main Product Categories are as below :
➽AUTOMOTIVE BATTERIES    ➽  INDUSTRIAL BATTERIES       ➽INVERTER BATTERIES 
➽HOME UPS SYSTEMS            ➽SOLAR BATTERIES                   ➽ GENSET BATTERIES ➽SUBMARINE BATTERIES
PRODUCT PORTFOLIOS


Some of the major Features & development work done at the R&D viewed at a glance is as follows:
  1. Reach 50+ countries
  2. Production Capacity 45.45 million units of automotive & MC battery 4,782 million Ah of industrial power
  3. Distribution network 48,000+ direct and indirect dealers
  4. Passionate Human Resources 5,300+ employees
  5. Automotive & tractor batteries as per Indian standards to suit tropical conditions
  6. Japanese range of automotive and motorbike batteries
  7. German range of automotive batteries suited to vehicles of European origin
  8. Development of submarine batteries
  9. Valve Regulated Lead Acid (VRLA) batteries for telecommunication & railway applications
  10. Motive Power Batteries for fork-lift trucks & golf carts
  11. Development of special type of poly-ethylene separators for varying applications
  12. High energy density battery for electric vehicles
  13. Plant batteries for power stations
  14. Furthermore, long-life, maintenance-free batteries for cars have also been developed which are presently being marketed under the brand name Exide Eternity
  15. Also a new heavy duty, MHD range of batteries have been developed and introduced for the entire commercial range of vehicles. Batteries were also developed for CNG/LPG powered three-wheelers and golf carts
  16.  A range of batteries for industrial application including new batteries for telecom, solar, traction and  small VRLA for UPS system was also developed
  17. Collaborations with Shin Kobe and Furukuwa of Japan, Oldham of UK and East Penn Manufacturing of US give Exide a global dimension in manufacturing capability.
  18. Exide Industries Ltd and Leclanché SA (SIX:LECN), one of the world's leading energy storage solution companies, headquartered in Switzerland, announced recently a joint venture to build  lithium-ion batteries and provide energy storage systems for India's Electric Vehicle market and grid-based applications.  The JV is likely to become a leading solutions provider for alternative energy storage applications in India; and will also contribute to developing energy-efficient, eco-friendly solutions that rationalise fossil fuel dependence. The JV will specifically target e-transport and fleet vehicles, including e-buses, e-wheelers and e-rickshaws. Its production plant will be based in Gujarat. A module and battery pack assembly line is expected to be operational by Q3 FY 2019-20.


EXIDES SUBSIDIARIES ARE :
1 > EXIDE LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY LTD.                                                2> CHLORIDE METALS LTD. ("CML")
3> CHLORIDE POWER SYSTEMS & SOLUTIONS LTD. ("CPSSL")                4> CHLORIDE INTERNATIONAL LTD. ("CIL")
5> CHLORIDE BATTERIES S.E. ASIA PTE LTD. ("CBSEA")                            6> ESPEX BATTERIES LTD. ("ESPEX")
7> ASSOCIATED BATTERY MANUFACTURERS (CEYLON) LTD.                8>EXIDE LECLANCHE ENERGY PRIVATE LTD. 

Its International Reputed Brands are:

EXIDE BRAND BATTERIES ARE AVAILABLE IN -
AFGHANISTHAN, BANGLADESH, MALAYSIA, MAURITIUS, MYANMAR, SINGAPORE, SRI LANKA
CHLORIDE BRAND BATTERIES ARE AVAILABLE IN -
BAHRAIN, BRUNEI, BANGLADESH, KUWAIT, MALAYSIA, MYANMAR, NIGERIA, PHILIPPINES, SINGAPORE, SRI LANKA, THAILAND, UAE, VIETNAM
                                                               
CEIL BRAND BATTERIES ARE AVAILABLE IN -
AFRICA, AUSTRALIA, BOTSWANA, HONG KONG, INDONESIA, KENYA, MYANMAR, NEW ZEALAND, NIGERIA, PHILIPPINES, SINGAPORE, SOUTH , TANZANIA, UAE, YEMEN, ZIMBABWE
INDEX BRAND BATTERIES ARE AVAILABLE IN -
SOUTH AFRICA, UGANDA, YEMEN

SF SONIC BRAND BATTERIES ARE AVAILABLE IN -
SOUTH AFRICA

MAJOR MNC & DOMESTIC CUSTOMERS


As Exide uses lead in the manufacture of its products , so  environmental control is an area of high priority. The thrust of the Research & Development Center in Kolkata, continues to be development and production of batteries which are more environment-friendly. Each Exide plant has been set up with intricate and intensive pollution control equipment to ensure that effluent prejudicial to the environment is not discharged by the concerned units. Further, the Company has also contributed towards conservation and protection of wildlife.
             
            CMP : Rs.184.6    Market Cap:Rs.15678 Cr.     EPS-Rs.  9.95      Face Value- Rs 1
                       

MAR’18     YEARLY
Net Sales (Cr)
Operating Profit (Cr)
(Profit After Tax)PAT (Cr)
Mar’19  : 10588
Mar’19  : 1413
Mar’19  :844
Mar’18  : 9186
Mar’18  : 1244
Mar’18  :668
Change  : 11.5% (Up)
Change  :  13.6% (Up)
Change  :26.3 % (Up)
MAR’19     QUATERLY
NET SALES (Cr)
Operating Profit (Cr)
(Profit After Tax)PAT (Cr)
Mar’19  :2598.6
Mar’19  :373
Mar’19  :210
Mar’18 :2459.4
Mar’18 :338
Mar’18 :189
Change : 5.6% (UP)
Change :10.3%(UP)
Change : 11%(Up)
52 weeks High / Low Ratio 
304/180.2
=1.68
  <2.2 is Good
Current Ratio
1.57
> 1.25 is Good,
A liquidity ratio that measures a company's ability to pay short-term obligations. The higher the current ratio, the more capable the company is of paying its obligations.
Quick Ratio (x)
0.74
> 1 is Good,
The quick ratio measures a company's ability to meet its short-term obligations with its most liquid assets. For this reason, the ratio excludes inventories from current assets
Sales growth
12%
CAGR >15% for last 7-10 years
Growth should be a consistent year on year. Ignore companies where a sudden spurt of sales in one year is confounding the 10 years performance.
Very high growth rates of >50% are unsustainable.


Price to Sales ratio (P/S ratio)
1.48
< 1.5 is Good
James O’Shaughnessy: Buy if P/S ratio is < 1.5 and sell if >3
Price to Book value Ratio(P/B Ratio)
2.6

(Last 10 year average 3.44)
For a Good Company
3 – 6 is Ok &
< 4 is very good
A stock is termed as undervalued if it has a lower P/B ratio. A low P/B ratio may also mean a company has some problems with its fundamentals. 
Return On Asset (%)
13.42
> 5% is Good,
< 5% is Not Good
An indicator of how efficient management is at using its assets to generate earnings. Calculated by dividing a company’s annual earnings by its total assets
Return On Equity (%)
13.55%

> 10% is Good,
Also called Return on net worth, it measures a company’s profitability by revealing how much profit a company generates with the money shareholders have invested, it is calculated by dividing the net profit after tax by shareholder's fund For high growth companies you should expect a higher ROE.
Cash Flow from Operation
1004 Cr
CFO>0
Positive CFO necessary
Tax Payout
 31%

>30% Good
The tax rate should be near the general corporate tax rate unless some specific tax incentives are applicable for the company.
Profitability
(Net profit Margin)
 8.1%
>8 is Good
Look for companies with sustained operating profit & net profit margins over the years
P/E ratio
18.58

Industry P/E 19.84
<Industry P/E is Good.
P/E ratio is the most widely used parameter to analyze whether the stock of any company is overvalued or undervalued at any point in time. It is calculated by dividing the current market price (CMP) of stock by profit/earnings per share (EPS).
Dividend Yield (%)
1.3%
(From 2007 company pays dividends continuously)
> 0 is Good,
Higher is better
A financial ratio that shows how much a company pays out in dividends each year relative to its share price. The dividend yield is calculated as annual dividends per share divided by market price per share.
P/E to Growth ratio (PEG ratio)
2.12
<1 is Good
The price/earnings to growth ratio (PEG ratio) is a stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio divided by the growth rate of its earnings for a specified time period. The PEG ratio is used to determine a stock's value while taking the company's earnings growth into account and is considered to provide a more complete picture than the P/E ratio.
Promoter shareholding
Promoter-45.99%
Corporate-0 %
Public- 10.7%
FII-0.21%
DII-23.78%
Others-19.32%
> 30% (Must for Promoter)
Higher the better
Interest Coverage Ratio
152.15
> 2 is Good,
(For Banks & NBFC this is not Valid)
It is used to determine how easily a company can pay interest on outstanding debt. It is calculated by dividing a company's EBIT by the interest expenses.
Debt Equity Ratio
0
< 1 is Good,
(For Banks & NBFC this is not Valid)
A measure of a company's financial leverage calculated by dividing its total liabilities by stockholders equity. The debt/equity ratio also depends on the industry in which the company operates.
FUTURE GROWTH ESTIMATION
Crore
FY 2019 (E)
FY 2020 (E)
FY 2021 (E)
Revenue
11737
12576
13833
Net Profit
903
1012
1133
Earning/Share
10.6
11.90
13.30


























































































































Technically the sock is oversold .RSI & Stochastics  are in oversold zone. Rs. 174 is very strong support, maintain stop loss at this level & re-enter Rs.155.Price target as per EV/EBITDA Model,Price to sales Model Rs.244 in medium to short term.


Learn From Market Guru PETER LYNCH

Don't try to be a market timer

According to Lynch: "When stocks are attractive, you buy them. Sure, they can go lower. I've bought stocks at $12 that went to $2, but then they later went to $30. You just don't know when you can find the bottom."


Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. My view is only to Educate retail investor to invest in the stock market Safely & wisely. This is not any recommendation, only for Education purpose. Before investing contact your financial advisor.