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Sunday 2 April 2023

Best Time to Buy Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd.

Company at a Glance:

Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd is a global research-led pharmaceutical company with operations in over 80 countries and a presence in generics, specialty, and over-the-counter (OTC) products.Glenmark  pharmaceutical limited



Listed among the top 50 Generics and biosimilar companies in the world

Integrated throughout the pharmaceutical value chain, with a strong presence in drug discovery, API, and finished dose formulations.

With drugs in various stages of clinical development, the institute has established research excellence in both novel small molecule and biologics research.

The fastest-growing pharmaceutical company among the top 20 in the Indian pharmaceutical market In terms of volume, it ranks 15th among US generic pharma companies. 14 world-class manufacturing plants
        

Financial Highlights

CriteriaMar 16Mar 17Mar 18Mar 19Mar 20Mar 21Mar 22TTMChart
Price795.05857.75547.45653.15205.85464.7442
Sales +756290799074986510641109441230512636.0
Sales Growth(YOY)15.2%20.1%-0.1%8.7%7.9%2.8%12.4%0.13
Sales Growth(Cagr-2 YOY)12.2%17.6%9.5%4.2%8.3%5.3%7.5%0.07
Profit before tax1,0441,4911,1191,3011,0961,3821,4411629.0
PBT Margin14%16%12%13%10%13%12%0.13
Tax %29%26%28%29%29%30%31%
Net Profit7431109804925776970994953.0
Net Profit Margin9.8%12.2%8.9%9.4%7.3%8.9%8.1%0.08
% Profit Growth YOY256%49%-28%15%-16%25%2%-0.04
EPS in Rs26.3339.2928.4932.7827.534.3833.3731.22
Price to earning30.221.819.219.97.513.513.214.88
Consolidated Figures in Rs. Crores

Total Revenue, Net Profit.& Return of equity(ROE) Comparison with Average Values:


Average Total Revenue Annual Cr (Annual | in cr ₹)Average Net Profit Annual Cr (Annual | in cr ₹)Average ROE Annual % (Annual | in cr ₹)
1Yrs3Yrs5 Yrs7 Yrs1Yrs3Yrs5 Yrs7 Yrs1Yrs3Yrs5 Yrs7 Yrs
12305.011961.711278.210649.1994.0972.3923.693310.36 %
12.29 %

13.79 %

16.3 %

Conclusive Summary:-

  • Total Revenue Annual Cr growth is higher than historical averages.
  • Net Profit Annual Cr growth is stable compared to historical averages.
  • ROE Annual % is growing slower than historical averages.

Valuation & Fundamental Price Target

The market expects 7 % revenue and 7.5% PAT CAGRs over FY22-FY25E along with EBITDA margin at ~18-20%

Maintain BUY with a target price of Rs525/share based on 12x Sep'24E earnings. Over the last five years, the stock has traded at an average P/E of 17.3x.


Technical breakout to Buy 


Technically the stock is a very strong candidate for a good Buy. From 18 Apr '22, Glenmark Pharma successfully formed a Cup & Handle pattern. last week after giving a strong breakout above Rs. 443
Level , sustained for 3 days at the present level of Rs. 464.7.
This good time to buy this stock at this level & buy on dips up to Rs. 412 with a stop loss of Rs. 410.
Technical Tergerget is Rs. 550.
Happy investing.